What the 2026 Federal Budget Means for The Hills Property Market

Yesterday’s Federal Budget introduced some of the biggest proposed housing and property tax changes Australia has seen in decades – and it has already created major discussion across the property industry.

For buyers, sellers and investors across The Hills District, here’s what you actually need to know.

What Has Been Proposed?

The Federal Government has proposed:

Importantly, these are currently proposed reforms and will still need to progress through legislation.

What Does This Mean for Investors?

Under the proposal:

Importantly:

This means existing investors are unlikely to suddenly lose current benefits on properties they already own.

What Could This Mean for The Hills Market?

For suburbs like:

…the likely short-term impact is more caution rather than major market disruption.

What we are already seeing:

The key drivers supporting The Hills market remain strong:

Could New Build Areas Benefit?

Potentially, yes.

Because newly built properties are expected to retain current tax benefits, areas with ongoing development such as:

…could see increased investor attention.

Will Property Prices Fall?

At this stage, most economists expect:

Highly desirable family suburbs with strong infrastructure and limited supply are still expected to remain relatively resilient.

Rental Supply Remains a Concern

One of the biggest concerns raised following the Budget announcement is rental supply.

If investor activity slows too heavily:

This is particularly relevant across Sydney family markets where rental demand already remains strong.

The Bottom Line

The proposed reforms are significant – but they are unlikely to create overnight change.

For buyers and sellers across The Hills, the fundamentals still matter most:

Good properties will still attract buyers, but the market is becoming increasingly selective and value-driven.

As always, property decisions should be based on long-term goals and individual financial circumstances – not just headlines.

Written by Alexandra Meadth
Director, Opes Real Estate

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